The war is ongoing. Terrible, because every war, even a necessary one, is terrible. Is this a necessary war? And did it really start yesterday? Could it have been prevented? Could the world, which today began a traditional session of condemnation, have done something and did it want to do something?
In my opinion, the answer to these questions is: it could, but it definitely did not want to. Where do such (my) conclusions come from?
Here is a continuation of the analysis that began yesterday in the heat of the moment.
Chapter III What was the attitude of the Iranian regime towards Israel since 1980 (from the beginning).
Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran's Islamic regime has openly made the elimination of the State of Israel a top priority and has made it a central element of its ideology. The U.S. appeared in this ideology as the "Great Satan" and Israel as the "Little Satan."
September 9, 2015 Khamenei declared that Israel would be eliminated within 25 years. In June 2017, in Palestine Square in Tehran, the ayatollahs set a clock to count down the maximum of 25 (then less) years until the annihilation of Israel.
In 2018, Revolutionary Guard commander Gen. Hossein Salami said that "there is no other way but to throw [the Israelis] into the sea," and in 2020, the same general urged the Israelis to "take a good look at the Mediterranean, which will be their final dwelling." In his speech, he added that "our Hezbollah is enough to destroy this political, cancerous tumor [Israel]." thus admitting (as if anyone had any doubts) that Hezbollah is an Iranian creation and that its mission is to destroy Israel.
In 2019, Majlis member Mohammad Baqer Ebadi advised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to "start learning to swim in the Mediterranean." He added that Israel's doomsday was approaching and that Israelis would trample each other while trying to escape.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, while still president of Iran, became famous for statements (some delivered at the UN) such as: "A world without the United States and Israel is desirable and achievable," "We don't have homosexuals in Iran like you do in America," and "Iran can recruit hundreds of suicide bombers a day. Suicide is an invincible weapon. Suicide bombers in this country have shown us the way and illuminate our future." Finally, "the use of nuclear weapons is Iran's right." For years, the Iranian authorities have not only called for the destruction of Israel, but also established, financed, and armed terrorist organizations directed against Israel.
Iran has called for the destruction of Israel, threatened to destroy Israel, built infrastructure to destroy Israel, praised terrorists, and praised the October 7 attack, yet none of this has been taken seriously in the West.
Chapter IV: The Ayatollahs and the Iranians
How did the regime treat Iranians? Those who didn't support it, as well as all women, Baha'is, homosexuals, and independent thinkers, were treated cruelly. Women were veiled, married off (on Khomeini's orders) before they started menstruating, raped after arrest, and subjected to the political police. Homosexuals were publicly hanged from cranes. Efforts were made to exterminate the Baha'is.
Summary
Iranians protested repeatedly, and Western intellectuals expressed concern and outrage. However, when Israel turned against the regime or its offshoots, it was accused of aggression. One may disagree with the Israeli government (every government, including the current and most controversial one, the regime in Tehran treated everyone equally). However, turning a blind eye to threats, calls, and preparations for annihilation is siding with the perpetrator. And that is not Israel. Israel has never been bothered by Iran's existence, and until 1980, it had friendly relations with it. Just as Ukraine was not bothered by Russia's existence. However, ignoring, or—worse—tacitly sanctioning, Iran's threats and efforts to carry them out is a different matter. One Shoah survivor once said: "When someone tells you they want to kill you, believe them." Israel believed them. After October 7th and Iran's praise of them, it could not have done otherwise. And let me remind you who the Redzikowo base was against, who sells shaheed to Russia, who expresses hope for the fall of the West and takes steps to bring about such a turn of events? And going further, I'll recall the West's irritation with Poland's refusal to cede the corridor to Hitler, and the ceding of Czechoslovakia to him as a guarantee of "peace for our generation," and Chamberlain's betrayal of German officers who were preparing for a coup and Hitler's ouster in 1938. Peace seems blissful and priceless as long as others pay for its maintenance, as long as others are the appetizer (never the whole meal) of criminal dictatorships.
Could today's war have been prevented? Yes, years ago, by reacting (correctly) to the ayatollahs' threats, by deploying peacekeeping forces in Lebanon as required instead of sending them there on vacation, by reacting to the anti-Semitism that has been consuming the Western left for years, by calling the ayatollahs' regime's crimes against Iranians by their proper names, by showing a modicum of shame when they listed beautiful values one by one, just enough for some action to follow, by naming the criminals after October 7th. But they didn't. Trump and Netanyahu are certainly not motivated by a desire to establish the rule of law in Iran and provide relief to the Iranian people. Both are concerned with their own interests, and Netanyahu also cares about the survival of his country (which is his role). I fully understand that one might dislike many things, but the time to prevent such an escalation has long passed. It was not used. There was time to point the finger of blame (and it wasn't used). War is terrible, and politicians, well, behave like average politicians. Only this situation didn't arise yesterday. It had been brewing for 45 years, and the Western left's beauties did everything they could to avoid seeing it.
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